Hopeless as it may sound, but to be able to completely eradicate the greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 can no longer stop the drastic rise in sea levels, a warning from a recent study.
When the climate change agreement of Paris was thrashed out in 2015, experts from Germany said that sea levels would rise by eight centimeters (3.1 inches) by 2100. It also added that time between 2015 and 2030 would be enough for that to happen.
In 2300, levels would increase by 20 centimeters (7.9 inches). A data that is similar to a published study from the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, which showed sea levels rose in between years 1986 through 2005.
By 2300, the rising is expected to increase by at least a meter, that makes the total eradication of greenhouse gas emissions useless in the next 11 years.
UN-backed scientists believed that, by the end of this century alone, water levels would increase by 26 cm up to 77 cm.
Based on the study’s conclusion, the predicted water level rise by 2030 will be due to China’s, the United States’, the European Union’s, Russia’s and India’s emissions in the next 40 years.
Similarly, the 20th century has risen oceans by around 20 cm.
Firm prediction on rising of sea levels
Alexander Nauels of the Climate Analytics Institute in Berlin, who is a co-author of the study, said that their goal is to show the significant effect of current emissions on rising sea levels, which can be felt over the next 200 years.
“We all focus on the 21st century, [which] sometimes that can create the false impression that after the 21st century nothing else will happen,” he said.
This problem is due to various phenomena that came from extremely long time scales, that makes the study difficult to conclude.
He said that even the melting of Antarctic ice slower than in Greenland is still unclear.
“When you’re looking into the sea level rise problem, it’s a very slow and responding system,” he stressed.
“A centimeter doesn’t sound like much but it’s actually a lot,” he added.
According to the experts who presented their study at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last year, to be able to reduce the seal level rise by 10 centimeters could save 10 million humans from being exposed to flooding, storm surges, and other risks near the coastal areas.
On the other hand, the Philippines is even listed to be one of the countries that may be submerged by 2050 due to uncontrollable rising of water levels.